LiveDaily ReportTrack RecordOptions
LiveDaily ReportTrack RecordOptions

CoinSig — 2026-02-12 Crypto Market Report

Predictions2026-02-12
BTC/USDTRANGEAI Bullish
$67,107 0.00%
L $65,835 — H $68,385
ETH$1,9470.00%·BTC Dom. 56.37%
0/ ±3
Neutral
Fear & Greed
5Extreme Fear
24h Volume
$11.6B
Bullish signals clustering. Strong short-term upward momentum. · Insufficient active signals. Low prediction confidence, use with caution.
AIThe market is in a consolidation state amid extreme fear, with a weakly bullish but low-confidence signal score (0.38), mixed flow regime, and price hovering around $67,107 within a 24-hour range of $68,385 to $65,834.
ARCHIVEDData period 2026-02-12 00:00–24:00 UTC·Generated at 2/13/2026, 3:21:52 PM (local time)
Daily Market Structure Report
The market is in a consolidation state amid extreme fear, with a weakly bullish but low-confidence signal score (0.38), mixed flow regime, and price hovering around $67,107 within a 24-hour range of $68,385 to $65,834. The Fear & Greed Index plummeted from 11 to 5 (Extreme Fear), with a weekly trend showing deteriorating sentiment (-4). News-wise, BitMine's continued massive ETH accumulation (adding 140,400 ETH worth $282M) aligns with bullish on-chain supply squeeze signals, but large BTC transfers to Binance (5,000 BTC, ~$351M) pose selling pressure risks. The core contradiction lies in: despite extreme bearish sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 5) and Order Flow Imbalance (OFI) biased sell (-1.2013), derivatives data signals bullishness—funding rate at historic lows (30d percentile P8.3) and liquidation ratio skewed long (24.5%), suggesting overcrowded shorts may trigger a squeeze. However, the Taker Buy Ratio at only 49.80% and mixed CVD trend (rising 1h but negative 4h) indicate weak buying momentum, creating a divergence between sentiment and structure. Volatility is in an expansion regime, with the IV Index at 54.47, 8.07 points above HV, a 17.39% premium, and a weekly percentile of 82.4%, indicating options markets expect heightened price swings. Positioning risk is balanced, with Open Interest stable at $3.22B, futures term structure flat, Put/Call Ratio at 0.7842, max pain at $62,000, and net Delta negative 5, showing a slight bearish tilt in options but no extreme positioning. Key levels: Immediate support at $67,000 (round number) and $65,834 (24h low); a break below $65,834 with volume exceeding the $11.59B daily average could trigger cascading liquidations downward. Resistance at $68,000 (round number) and $68,385 (24h high); a break above $68,385 requires Taker Buy Ratio rising above 50% and sustained CVD uptrend to confirm bullish momentum. Max pain at $62,000 serves as a key psychological support. Watch in the next 24 hours: 1. If BTC drops below $65,834 on heavy volume, expect a fast move down as leveraged longs get liquidated; 2. If ETH on-exchange supply continues to fall (news mentions a 10-year low) and price breaks above $1,947, it may boost overall market sentiment; 3. Monitor if funding rate rises from -0.0017%, as a shift positive could ease short pressure, but be wary of false breaks given low confidence.
Important News Events
Ethereum Plans Zero-Knowledge Block Validation Upgrade in 20262/10/2026

Ethereum (ETH) is quietly preparing for one of its most consequential architectural changes yet, one that could redefine how blocks are validated at the protocol level. com.

Bitmine Continues Accumulating Ethereum as Holdings Expand2/10/2026

Ethereum (ETH) just saw one of its largest single-day institutional buys in weeks, and it didn’t come from an exchange-traded fund (ETF) headline or a hype cycle. On-chain data shows Tom Lee’s Bitmine acquired 40,000 ETH worth roughly $83. 4 million within hours, split across two separate purchases

Ethereum on-exchange supply falls to a 10-year low2/9/2026

While the steadily declining prices have stolen virtually all headlines over the past month, Ethereum (ETH) on-exchange supply has also fallen back to levels not seen since mid-2016. Specifically, the total Ethereum supply on cryptocurrency exchanges sat at 16 million ETH on February 9, according to data available on CryptoQuant, while the asset itself was trading at around $2,000, down 34% on the monthly chart. Ethereum price and exchange supply. Source: CryptoQuant The drawdown has unfolded gradually rather than through a sharp drop, pointing to a sustained change in how holders are positioning their assets

$340M in Bitcoin Hits Binance as the Hyperunit Whale De-Risks Hard2/8/2026

A large Bitcoin holder that on-chain analysts often label the “Hyperunit whale” moved about 5,000 BTC to Binance in a short window. That transfer equated to roughly $351 million at the time of reporting, and it likely signaled intent to sell. However, you should separate what we can prove from what people assume

Bitcoin Would Need to Reach $1.7M per BTC to Match Gold’s Market Cap2/12/2026

Gold currently holds an estimated market capitalization of around $35 trillion, maintaining its position as the world’s largest store-of-value asset. While Bitcoin is often compared to the precious metal as a digital store of value, TechGaged’s latest research suggests that the cryptocurrency would need to trade near multi-million-dollar levels to approach gold’s scale. According to […] The post Bitcoin Would Need to Reach $1

Ethereum developers propose zero-knowledge privacy for AI chatbots2/12/2026

Ethereum developers have proposed a new system that lets people use AI chatbots privately while still paying for the service.

BitMine adds 140,400 ETH ($282M), continues massive ETH accumulation2/11/2026

BitMine aggressively acquired 140,400 ETH, raising total holdings to 4,366,000 ETH worth $8. 51 billion.

Vitalik brutally slams USDC yield as fake DeFi, warns industry has abandoned decentralization2/9/2026

The Ethereum ecosystem’s dependence on centralized stablecoins is forcing it to face a fundamental reckoning. Vitalik Buterin, the network’s co-founder, has questioned popular stablecoin strategies in decentralized banking. He believes that many of the products currently on the market do not function as DeFi should. He made it clear in his remarks on X that […]

Bitcoin Correction Echoes Past Cycles as Relief Rally Hopes Rise2/7/2026

Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest major price slump is drawing comparisons to past market cycles, with analysts pointing to a roughly 52% decline from recent highs—a level historically associated with mid-cycle corrections rather than full trend reversals. com.

Bitcoin Exchange Binance Announces It Purchased Bitcoin for the SAFU Fund! Here Are the Details2/6/2026

Binance announced that it purchased 3,600 BTC for its SAFU (Secure Asset Fund for Users) fund, which it created to protect user assets. Continue Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Binance Announces It Purchased Bitcoin for the SAFU Fund! Here Are the Details

Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 38%
Low confidence — insufficient active signals
Bullish 3Neutral 11Bearish 0
L/S Ratio: 1.8129CVD Trend: RisingLarge Trades: 51% sell sideIV Premium: 17.39%Taker Buy Ratio: 49.80%OI Change: 0%PCR: 0.7842Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: 1.0%HV Divergence: 12%
Bullish signals clustering. Strong short-term upward momentum. · Insufficient active signals. Low prediction confidence, use with caution.
Bullish
Funding Rate
P8.3×1
Liq. Ratio
25% Long liq.×1
Fear & Greed
5×1
AI vs Rules
AI
Bullish
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
Neutral
Score: 0/3
AI and Rules disagree
Extreme fear sentiment and negative funding rate suggest potential buying opportunities, but limited signal strength leads to medium confidence.
Key Price Levels
BTC
Round Number
$68,000+1.3%
24h High
$68,385+1.9%
Current Price
$67,107
Round Number
$67,000-0.2%
24h Low
$65,834-1.9%
Options Max Pain
$62,000-7.6%
ETH
Round Number
$2,000+2.7%
Current Price
$1,947
Round Number
$1,900-2.4%
Key Insights
Market in extreme fear zone — historically a contrarian opportunity window
Short liquidations exceed 75% — bulls dominating
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 48.8% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureExpansionIV-HV: +17.39% · P82.4
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P8.3 · Long Liq %: 24.5%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?Extreme FearF&G 5 · FR P8.3
Who Dominates?Bulls DominateBullish 3 : 0 Bearish · L/S 1.81
Capital Flowing In or Out?Inflow w/ DivergenceCVD Rising · Taker 50%
Volatility Risk?High Vol RiskIV 54.47 · HV 46.4 · P82
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?-0.0017%
Rate Percentile8.3%
Basis?-0.0397%
Open Interest?3.22B
OI Change+0.00%
Long/Short Ratio?1.81
Top Trader Long %55.23%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation3.38M
Short Liquidation10.43M
Long 25%Short 75%
Large Buy9,280 trades / 2.21B
Large Sell9,244 trades / 2.31B
Options
IV Index?54.47%
IV Range51.99% - 57.41%
HV 30D?46.4%
IV Premium17.39%
Put/Call Ratio?0.78
Max Pain?$62,000
PCR (Volume)0.70
Options OI437.74K
Net Delta-4.67
IV Skew18.4500
Vol Regimeexpansion (P82.4)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H52.16%4H52.12%24H52.12%7D56.03%30D46.4%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Rising
CVD Value1,133.26
CVD 4H-2,421.79
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Sell Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?49.8%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy68.1K
Large Taker Sell69.9K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth
+0.6%
10 Depth
+0.6%
20 Depth
+0.6%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl7.4
10 Lvl8.1
20 Lvl9.6
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%
Max0.005%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield1.86%
US 2Y Yield3.52%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.66%
DXY118.2
VIX17.6
HY Spread2.84%
Net Liquidity5.7T
Net Liquidity Chg+0.00%
S&P 5006,832.76
M2 Supply$22692.2B

Updated at 13/02/2026, 19:55:08 UTC

On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1325.9B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.504,187
Hash Rate (EH/s)1107 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)+3305.15 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.052 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0292

Updated at 13/02/2026, 19:55:39 UTC

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.