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CoinSig — 2026-05-05 Crypto Market Report

Predictions2026-05-05
BTC/USDTBULLISHAI Bullish
$80,862▲ 1.30%
L $79,761 — H $81,745
ETH$2,359+0.57%·BTC Dom. 58.66%
+8/ ±10▲+3
Strong Bullish
Fear & Greed
50Neutral
24h Volume
$13.9B▼-38.00%
Most dimensions point bullish. Sentiment is optimistic, but watch for overheating.
AIMarket status: BTC at $80,862, up 1.30% daily, signal score +8 (strong bullish), trend up, but funding rate still negative (-0.0092%), indicating cautious optimism.
LATESTData period 2026-05-05 00:00–24:00 UTC·Generated at 5/6/2026, 12:30:05 AM (local time)
Daily Market Structure Report
Market status: BTC at $80,862, up 1.30% daily, signal score +8 (strong bullish), trend up, but funding rate still negative (-0.0092%), indicating cautious optimism. Flow regime mixed, taker buy ratio 49.5%, CVD 1h falling but 4h rising, large buy trades 59%, ETF net inflow $4.1B, consistent with institutional accumulation. Weekly trend up, price from $75,750 to $80,862, signal score improving.
Signal Summary
UptrendConfidence: 85%
Bullish 9Neutral 7Bearish 0
CVD Trend: FallingFear & Greed: 50Taker Buy Ratio: 49.50%CVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: 2.8%HV Divergence: -6%mvrv: 1.47
Most dimensions point bullish. Sentiment is optimistic, but watch for overheating.
▲ Bullish
Funding Rate
P14.6×1.18
L/S Ratio
0.5053×1.33
Liq. Ratio
8% Long liq.×1.31
Large Trades
41% sell side×1.02
IV Premium
-5.85%×0.88
OI Change
+6.56%×1.08
PCR
0.6404×1
Price Momentum
Up×1.29
etf_flow
4112.2×1.15
AI vs Rules
AI
▲ Bullish
Confidence: high
Rules Prediction
▲ Bullish
Score: +8/10
AI and Rules agree
Multiple indicators show bullish signals: low funding rate, low long/short ratio, strong ETF inflows, exchange outflows, and a signal score of +8/10 with 0.85 confidence.
Yesterday Review
✓ ✅ Correct+1.30%
2026-05-04·Predicted: Strong Bullish (+5)Ranging
84%Accuracy
Prediction aligned with market direction
✓ L/S Ratio✓ Liq. Ratio✓ CVD Trend✓ IV Premium✓ OI Change✓ PCR✗ etf_flow
Last 7 Days4W 2L (1 skipped)
Win Rate67%
Win Streak2
Avg Accuracy63%
04-27
04-28
04-29
04-30
05-01
05-02
05-03
AIBullish→✅ Correct
Key Price Levels
BTC
Round Number
$81,000+0.2%
24h High
$81,745+1.1%
Current Price
$80,862—
24h Low
$79,761-1.4%
Week Low
$75,750-6.3%
Options Max Pain
$60,000-25.8%
ETH
Round Number
$2,400+1.7%
Current Price
$2,359—
Round Number
$2,300-2.5%
Volume must exceed $10.5B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Short liquidations exceed 75% — bulls dominating
Multiple indicators aligned bullish — strong short-term upside momentum
Signal score surged sharply — sentiment shifting bullish rapidly
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 59% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureCompressionIV-HV: -5.85% · P6.6
Positioning RiskShort CrowdedFR P14.6 · Long Liq %: 8%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?NeutralF&G 50 · FR P14.6
Who Dominates?Bulls DominateBullish 9 : 0 Bearish · L/S 0.51
Capital Flowing In or Out?Inflow w/ DivergenceCVD Falling · Taker 50%
Volatility Risk?Low VolIV 40.09 · HV 42.58 · P7
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?-0.0092%▼-0.0088%
Rate Percentile14.6%
Basis?-0.0608%▼-0.0150%
Open Interest?4.64B
OI Change+6.56%
Long/Short Ratio?0.51▼-0.021
Top Trader Long %42.8%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation1.53M
Short Liquidation17.71M
Long 8%Short 92%
Large Buy14,256 trades / 5.06B
Large Sell12,177 trades / 3.52B
Options
IV Index?40.09%▲+0.26%
IV Range38.86% - 41.16%
HV 30D?42.58%
IV Premium-5.85%
Put/Call Ratio?0.64▲+0.006
Max Pain?$60,000
PCR (Volume)0.50
Options OI373.66K
Net Delta7,833.05
IV Skew5.4685
Vol Regimecompression (P6.6)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H40.24%4H40.23%24H40.24%7D39.52%30D42.58%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Falling (Rising →)
CVD Value-2,909.45
CVD 4H10,983.98
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Buy Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?49.5%▼-0.3%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy86.6K
Large Taker Sell67.6K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth
-2.8%
10 Depth
-2.8%
20 Depth
-3.5%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl37.3
10 Lvl40.7
20 Lvl52.9
Orderbook Spread0.0001%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%▼-0.0001
Max0.004%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield1.95%
US 2Y Yield3.95%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-2%
DXY118.4
VIX18.3
HY Spread2.78%
Net Liquidity5.72T
Net Liquidity Chg-0.01%
S&P 5007,200.75
M2 Supply$23115.2B

Updated at 05/05/2026, 22:10:03 UTC

On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1629.6B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.472,688
Hash Rate (EH/s)937 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)-2278.94 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.116 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0292
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$101.4B
IBIT AUM$65.1B
Est. Daily Flow+$4.1B
BTC MVRV1.4734
BTC Realized Price$54,179
BTC NUPL0.3213
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins267.6B
USDT189.5B
USDC78.1B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-35.7%
30D Change+18.69%
200D Change-24.23%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI75.7B
ETH Global OI43.7B
Google Trends79/100

Updated at 06/05/2026, 00:10:41 UTC⚠ Some data delayed

7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend▲
Signal Trend▲
IV Trend→
Funding Trend▲
OI Trend▲
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.