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CoinSig — 2026-05-06 Crypto Market Report

Predictions2026-05-06
BTC/USDTBULLISHAI Neutral
$81,390▲ 0.65%
L $80,651 — H $82,829
ETH$2,350-0.41%·BTC Dom. 58.6%
+5/ ±9▼-3
Strong Bullish
Fear & Greed
46Fear
24h Volume
$12.9B▼-6.71%
Mixed signals across dimensions. Market direction unclear, consider staying on the sidelines.
AIBTC at $81,390, up 0.65% intraday, but sentiment remains cautious (Fear & Greed 46).
LATESTData period 2026-05-06 00:00–24:00 UTC·Generated at 5/7/2026, 12:30:04 AM (local time)
Daily Market Structure Report
BTC at $81,390, up 0.65% intraday, but sentiment remains cautious (Fear & Greed 46). Flow regime is mixed: taker buy ratio at 50.24% shows balanced aggression, yet CVD continues to fall, indicating persistent sell pressure. Weekly trend is up (low $75,750 to high $80,862), but signal score dropped from +8 to +5, and ETF outflow of $1.66B weighs.
Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 70%
Bullish 5Neutral 8Bearish 3
Funding Rate: P52.1Large Trades: 49% sell sideFear & Greed: 46Taker Buy Ratio: 50.24%CVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: 5.5%HV Divergence: -7%mvrv: 1.49
Mixed signals across dimensions. Market direction unclear, consider staying on the sidelines.
▲ Bullish
L/S Ratio
0.5845×1.05
Liq. Ratio
15% Long liq.×1.09
IV Premium
-6.29%×0.88
PCR
0.642×1
Price Momentum
Up×1.27
▼ Bearish
CVD Trend
Falling×1.01
OI Change
-8.83%×1.12
etf_flow
-1659.1×1.12
AI vs Rules
AI
— Neutral
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
▲ Bullish
Score: +5/9
AI and Rules disagree
Mixed signals: low L/S ratio and PCR are bullish, but negative funding rate, declining OI, and ETF outflows are bearish; price is ranging.
Yesterday Review
✓ ✅ Correct+0.65%
2026-05-05·Predicted: Strong Bullish (+8)Uptrend
100%Accuracy
Prediction aligned with market direction
✓ Funding Rate✓ L/S Ratio✓ Liq. Ratio✓ Large Trades✓ IV Premium✓ OI Change✓ PCR✓ Price Momentum✓ etf_flow
Last 7 Days5W 1L (1 skipped)
Win Rate83%
Win Streak3
Avg Accuracy72%
04-28
04-29
04-30
05-01
05-02
05-03
05-04
AIBullish→✅ Correct
Key Price Levels
BTC
Week High
$80,862+-0.6%
Round Number
$82,000+0.7%
24h High
$82,829+1.8%
Current Price
$81,390—
24h Low
$80,651-0.9%
Week Low
$75,750-6.9%
ETH
Round Number
$2,400+2.1%
Current Price
$2,350—
Round Number
$2,300-2.1%
Volume must exceed $11.4B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Short liquidations exceed 75% — bulls dominating
Multiple indicators aligned bullish — strong short-term upside momentum
Signal score plunged sharply — sentiment deteriorating fast
Bull/bear signals in sharp conflict — market at directional inflection point
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 51.3% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureCompressionIV-HV: -6.29% · P4.4
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P52.1 · Long Liq %: 15.5%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?NeutralF&G 46 · FR P52.1
Who Dominates?ContestedBullish 5 : 3 Bearish · L/S 0.58
Capital Flowing In or Out?Inflow w/ DivergenceCVD Falling · Taker 50%
Volatility Risk?Low VolIV 39.66 · HV 42.32 · P4
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?-0.0059%▲+0.0033%
Rate Percentile52.1%
Basis?-0.0527%▲+0.0081%
Open Interest?4.23B
OI Change-8.83%
Long/Short Ratio?0.58▲+0.079
Top Trader Long %41.01%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation4.73M
Short Liquidation25.84M
Long 15%Short 85%
Large Buy13,645 trades / 3.96B
Large Sell12,601 trades / 3.75B
Options
IV Index?39.66%▼-0.43%
IV Range39.09% - 40.54%
HV 30D?42.32%
IV Premium-6.29%
Put/Call Ratio?0.64▲+0.002
Max Pain?$90,000
PCR (Volume)0.49
Options OI381.65K
Net Delta441.11
IV Skew6.4860
Vol Regimecompression (P4.4)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H39.41%4H39.41%24H39.41%7D39.49%30D42.32%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Falling
CVD Value-3,480.41
CVD 4H-3,166.05
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Sell Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?50.2%▲+0.7%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy72.6K
Large Taker Sell68.4K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth
+1.3%
10 Depth
+1.3%
20 Depth
+1.1%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl17.0
10 Lvl17.9
20 Lvl19.9
Orderbook Spread0.0001%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%▲+0.0001
Max0.004%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield1.96%
US 2Y Yield3.93%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.97%
DXY118.4
VIX17.4
HY Spread2.77%
Net Liquidity5.72T
Net Liquidity Chg-0.01%
S&P 5007,259.22
M2 Supply$23115.2B

Updated at 06/05/2026, 22:10:05 UTC

On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1627.5B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.508,713
Hash Rate (EH/s)988 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)+1281.20 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.116 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0289
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$101.4B
IBIT AUM$65.1B
Est. Daily Flow$1.7B
BTC MVRV1.4933
BTC Realized Price$54,196
BTC NUPL0.3303
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins267.8B
USDT189.5B
USDC78.2B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-35.4%
30D Change+18.14%
200D Change-24.03%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI74.2B
ETH Global OI45.2B
Google Trends65/100

Updated at 07/05/2026, 00:10:44 UTC

7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend▲
Signal Trend▲
IV Trend→
Funding Trend▲
OI Trend▲
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.