CoinSig — 2026-06-02 Crypto Market Report
Predictions2026-06-02
BTC/USDTBEARISHAI Bearish
$66,730▼ 6.53%
L $66,151 — H $71,397
ETH$1,859-7.33%·BTC Dom. 56%
-3/ ±8▼-3
Bearish
Fear & Greed
23Extreme Fear
24h Volume
$23.6B▲+53.97%
Active buying increasing while L/S ratio leans short — retail shorting while smart money accumulates. · Contrarian signals downweighted in downtrend.
AIMarket in extreme fear, BTC down 6.53% to $66,730.
Daily Market Structure Report
Market in extreme fear, BTC down 6.53% to $66,730. Flow regime mixed with CVD falling (bearish) but taker buy ratio rising to 52.31% (bullish). Weekly trend flat but signal score dropped to -3, confirming downside risk.\n\nCore contradiction: Retail long/short ratio at 2.25 (crowded long) yet 97% of liquidations are longs and OI fell 5.8%, indicating forced unwinding rather than active accumulation. This divergence suggests any bounce may be fragile.\n\nVolatility structure: IV rose to 40.05, IV-HV spread 1.78, IV premium 4.65% (normal). PCR OI declined to 0.6146, put interest weakening, but max pain at $80,000 far above spot – options market not fully pricing downside.\n\nKey levels: Support $66,151 (24h low), resistance $67,000 (round number). A break below $66,151 on volume >$10.1B could trigger cascading liquidations. A reclaim of $67,000 with volume would be short-term bullish.\n\nWatch: 1) If BTC breaks $66,151, expect fast move to sub-$65k as leveraged longs liquidate. 2) If taker buy ratio stays above 52%, a short-term bottom may form. 3) Monitor ETF outflows; yesterday saw $243.8M outflow.
Signal Summary
DowntrendConfidence: 50%
Funding Rate: P31.2IV Premium: 4.65%Fear & Greed: 23Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: -14.1%HV Divergence: 13%etf_flow: -243.8mvrv: 1.32
Active buying increasing while L/S ratio leans short — retail shorting while smart money accumulates. · Contrarian signals downweighted in downtrend.
▲ Bullish
Taker Buy Ratio
52.31%×1PCR
0.6146×1.07▼ Bearish
L/S Ratio
2.2499×0.98Liq. Ratio
97% Long liq.×1.31CVD Trend
Falling×1.01Large Trades
52% sell side×1.03OI Change
-5.77%×1.29AI vs Rules
AI
▼ Bearish
Confidence: high
Rules Prediction
▼ Bearish
Score: -3/8
AI and Rules agree
The market is in extreme fear, with multiple indicators such as L/S ratio, liquidation ratio, CVD trend, and OI change showing bearish signals. Despite a few bullish signals, the overall bias is downward.
Yesterday Review
✗ ❌ Missed-6.53%
50%Accuracy
Multiple signal misses — possible market regime shift
✓ Funding Rate✓ L/S Ratio✓ Liq. Ratio✗ OI Change✗ PCR✗ ATM Book Imbalance
Last 7 Days1W 4L (2 skipped)
Win Rate20%
Loss Streak2
Avg Accuracy47%
05-25
05-26
05-27
05-28
05-29
05-30
05-31
AIBearish→✅ Correct
Key Price Levels
BTC
Round Number$67,000+0.4%
Week High$75,906+13.8%
Options Max Pain$80,000+19.9%
Current Price$66,730—
Week Low$71,3927.0%
24h Low$66,151-0.9%
ETH
Round Number$1,900+2.2%
Current Price$1,859—
Round Number$1,800-3.2%
Volume must exceed $10.1B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Long liquidations exceed 75% — bears dominating
Signal score plunged sharply — sentiment deteriorating fast
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 47.6% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureNormalIV-HV: +4.65% · P50.5
Positioning RiskDeleveragingFR P31.2 · Long Liq %: 96.6%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?Extreme FearF&G 23 · FR P31.2
Who Dominates?Bears DominateBullish 2 : 5 Bearish · L/S 2.25
Capital Flowing In or Out?Net OutflowCVD Falling · Taker 52%
Volatility Risk?Normal VolIV 40.05 · HV 38.27 · P51
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.0072%▼-0.0028%
Rate Percentile31.2%
Basis?-0.0404%▼-0.0108%
Open Interest?3.90B
OI Change-5.77%
Long/Short Ratio?2.25▲+0.158
Top Trader Long %60.24%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation116.47M
Short Liquidation4.05M
Long 97%Short 3%
Large Buy23,955 trades / 6.55B
Large Sell24,680 trades / 7.20B
Options
IV Index?40.05%▲+3.10%
IV Range37.27% - 43.35%
HV 30D?38.27%
IV Premium4.65%
Put/Call Ratio?0.61▼-0.016
Max Pain?$80,000
PCR (Volume)0.95
Options OI387.95K
Net Delta-1,459.99
IV Skew9.4425
Vol Regimenormal (P50.5)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H43.31%4H43.31%24H43.31%7D37.53%30D38.27%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Falling (Rising →)
CVD Value-9,292.49
CVD 4H-7,907.51
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Buy Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?52.3%▲+1.1%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy148.8K
Large Taker Sell162.8K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth+1.4%
10 Depth+1.1%
20 Depth+0.4%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl21.1
10 Lvl22.6
20 Lvl26.1
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%▲+0.0003
Max0.005%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield2.07%
US 2Y Yield4.05%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.98%
DXY118.9
VIX16.1
HY Spread2.72%
Net Liquidity5.87T
Net Liquidity Chg-0.02%
S&P 5007,599.96
M2 Supply$22879.0B
Updated at 02/06/2026, 22:10:03 UTC
On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1347.4B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.508,084
Hash Rate (EH/s)933 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)-3900.18 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.179 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0279
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$90.1B
IBIT AUM$58.1B
Est. Daily Flow$243.8M
BTC MVRV1.3214
BTC Realized Price$53,978
BTC NUPL0.2432
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins263.7B
USDT187.8B
USDC75.9B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-47.1%
30D Change-15.12%
200D Change-29.85%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI67.6B
ETH Global OI38.8B
Google Trends72/100
Updated at 03/06/2026, 00:10:41 UTC
7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend→
Signal Trend→
IV Trend→
Funding Trend▼
OI Trend→
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.