CoinSig — 2026-07-03 Crypto Market Report
Predictions2026-07-03
BTC/USDTBULLISHAI Bullish
$62,566▲ 1.67%
L $61,229 — H $62,957
ETH$1,757+3.38%·BTC Dom. 55.67%
+4/ ±8▲+1
Bullish
Fear & Greed
21Extreme Fear
24h Volume
$8.2B▼-42.93%
Retail leverage pushing funding rate up, but large orders are accumulating. Watch for divergence.
AIToday's market shows cautious bullishness, with BTC up 1.67% to $62,566 and ETH up 3.38%.
Daily Market Structure Report
Today's market shows cautious bullishness, with BTC up 1.67% to $62,566 and ETH up 3.38%. Flow regime is mixed with large buy trades at 53.3% and CVD rising, but ETF outflows of $1.85B provide a counterbalance. Fear & Greed rose from 19 to 21, still in Extreme Fear. Weekly trend is ranging between $58,605 and $61,541.
Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 70%
L/S Ratio: 1.5445Fear & Greed: 21Taker Buy Ratio: 49.61%OI Change: +0.98%Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceHV Divergence: -9%mvrv: 1.16
Retail leverage pushing funding rate up, but large orders are accumulating. Watch for divergence.
▲ Bullish
Liq. Ratio
23% Long liq.×0.96CVD Trend
Rising×0.98Large Trades
47% sell side×1.08IV Premium
-8.81%×1.03PCR
0.5695×0.86ATM Book Imbalance
41.5%×0.88▼ Bearish
Funding Rate
P100×0.84etf_flow
-1853.8×1.11AI vs Rules
AI
▲ Bullish
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
▲ Bullish
Score: +4/8
AI and Rules agree
Despite high funding rate and ETF outflows being bearish, most signals (liquidation ratio, CVD, IV premium, PCR, order book imbalance) are bullish, and exchange netflow is negative, indicating investor holding sentiment.
Yesterday Review
✓ ✅ Correct+1.67%
84%Accuracy
Prediction aligned with market direction
✗ Funding Rate✓ IV Premium✓ Fear & Greed✓ OI Change✓ PCR✓ ATM Book Imbalance✓ etf_flow
Last 7 Days1W 5L (1 skipped)
Win Rate17%
Loss Streak2
Avg Accuracy43%
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28
06-29
06-30
07-01
AIBullish→✅ Correct
Key Price Levels
BTC
Week High$61,541+-1.6%
24h High$62,957+0.6%
Round Number$63,000+0.7%
Current Price$62,566—
Round Number$62,000-0.9%
24h Low$61,229-2.1%
Options Max Pain$60,000-4.1%
ETH
Round Number$1,800+2.4%
Current Price$1,757—
Round Number$1,700-3.3%
Volume must exceed $11.8B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Short liquidations exceed 75% — bulls dominating
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 53.3% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureNormalIV-HV: -8.81% · P33
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P100 · Long Liq %: 22.6%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?Extreme FearF&G 21 · FR P100
Who Dominates?Bulls DominateBullish 6 : 2 Bearish · L/S 1.54
Capital Flowing In or Out?Net InflowCVD Rising · Taker 50%
Volatility Risk?Normal VolIV 39.64 · HV 43.47 · P33
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.01%
Rate Percentile100%
Basis?-0.0232%▲+0.0117%
Open Interest?3.58B
OI Change+0.98%
Long/Short Ratio?1.54▼-0.132
Top Trader Long %55.2%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation2.23M
Short Liquidation7.62M
Long 23%Short 77%
Large Buy9,167 trades / 2.32B
Large Sell8,031 trades / 2.03B
Options
IV Index?39.64%▼-1.37%
IV Range38.77% - 40.66%
HV 30D?43.47%
IV Premium-8.81%
Put/Call Ratio?0.57▼-0.000
Max Pain?$60,000
PCR (Volume)0.87
Options OI359.98K
Net Delta-298.34
IV Skew14.5890
Vol Regimenormal (P33)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H39.68%4H39.67%24H39.68%7D43.29%30D43.47%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Rising
CVD Value1,241.39
CVD 4H19,095.87
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Sell Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?49.6%▼-0.1%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy61.2K
Large Taker Sell54.8K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth-0.9%
10 Depth-0.9%
20 Depth-0.8%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl15.7
10 Lvl17.8
20 Lvl21.6
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%▼-0.0001
Max0.005%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield2.25%
US 2Y Yield4.17%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.92%
DXY120.9
VIX16.6
HY Spread2.75%
Net Liquidity5.84T
Net Liquidity Chg+0.45%
S&P 5007,483.24
M2 Supply$23062.9B
Updated at 03/07/2026, 22:10:06 UTC
On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1256.9B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.527,254
Hash Rate (EH/s)872 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)-458.47 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.070 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0280
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$75.9B
IBIT AUM$48.6B
Est. Daily Flow$1.9B
BTC MVRV1.1582
BTC Realized Price$53,087
BTC NUPL0.1366
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins257.1B
USDT184.1B
USDC73.0B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-50.2%
30D Change-1.90%
200D Change-27.07%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI56.8B
ETH Global OI35.1B
Google Trends66/100
Updated at 04/07/2026, 00:10:40 UTC
7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend→
Signal Trend▼
IV Trend▼
Funding Trend▲
OI Trend→
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.