CoinSig — 2026-07-19 Crypto Market Report
Predictions2026-07-19
BTC/USDTRANGEAI Bullish
$64,695▼ 0.17%
L $64,260 — H $64,949
ETH$1,871+0.52%·BTC Dom. 56.52%
+2/ ±6▼-3
Slightly Bullish
Fear & Greed
28Fear
24h Volume
$4.0B▲+28.01%
Mixed signals across dimensions. Market direction unclear, consider staying on the sidelines.
AIBTC trades flat near $64,695 with mixed flow regime; falling CVD indicates selling pressure, but strong ETF inflows and low funding rate provide support.
Daily Market Structure Report
BTC trades flat near $64,695 with mixed flow regime; falling CVD indicates selling pressure, but strong ETF inflows and low funding rate provide support. Weekly trend is range-bound, signal score dropped from +5 to +2, reflecting conflicting signals.\n\nCore contradiction: ETF net inflow of $845.8M hits a recent high, yet CVD has been falling for 7 consecutive days and taker buy ratio is only 48.3%, creating a divergence between institutional buying and spot selling.\n\nVolatility is compressing (IV 35.95, HV 40), IV-HV spread -4.05 suggests cheap options. PCR OI 0.4579 is bullish, but PCR Volume 0.9794 is near neutral. Max Pain at $62,500 provides downside support.\n\nKey levels: Resistance at $64,949 (24h high), breakout requires volume above $8.4B (weekly avg); support at $64,260 (24h low), a break could test $62,500 (Max Pain).\n\nWatch: 1) If BTC breaks above $64,950 on volume and CVD turns up, short-term bullish; 2) If CVD continues falling and breaks $64,260, selling pressure intensifies; 3) Weekend ETF closed, monitor spot volume for conviction.
Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 60%
Funding Rate: P37.5L/S Ratio: 1.3929Fear & Greed: 28Taker Buy Ratio: 48.31%OI Change: -2.12%Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: -3.3%HV Divergence: -10%mvrv: 1.23
Mixed signals across dimensions. Market direction unclear, consider staying on the sidelines.
▲ Bullish
Liq. Ratio
30% Long liq.×0.96IV Premium
-10.12%×0.7PCR
0.4579×0.88etf_flow
845.8×1▼ Bearish
CVD Trend
Falling×0.96Large Trades
53% sell side×1.08AI vs Rules
AI
▲ Bullish
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
▲ Bullish
Score: +2/6
AI and Rules agree
Despite fearful sentiment and some bearish signals, strong ETF inflows, negative IV premium, and low put-call ratio suggest upside potential.
Yesterday Review
✗ ❌ Missed-0.17%
15%Accuracy
Multiple signal misses — possible market regime shift
✗ Liq. Ratio✓ CVD Trend✗ Large Trades✗ IV Premium✗ PCR✗ ATM Book Imbalance✗ etf_flow
Last 7 Days2W 3L (2 skipped)
Win Rate40%
Avg Accuracy45%
07-11
07-12
07-13
07-14
07-15
07-16
07-17
AIBullish→N/A
Key Price Levels
BTC
24h High$64,949+0.4%
Current Price$64,695—
24h Low$64,260-0.7%
Options Max Pain$62,500-3.4%
Week Low$62,307-3.7%
ETH
Round Number$1,900+1.5%
Current Price$1,871—
Round Number$1,800-3.8%
Volume must exceed $8.4B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Signal score plunged sharply — sentiment deteriorating fast
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 46.8% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureCompressionIV-HV: -10.12% · P7.7
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P37.5 · Long Liq %: 29.8%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?FearfulF&G 28 · FR P37.5
Who Dominates?ContestedBullish 4 : 2 Bearish · L/S 1.39
Capital Flowing In or Out?Net OutflowCVD Falling · Taker 48%
Volatility Risk?Low VolIV 35.95 · HV 40 · P8
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.0049%▲+0.0045%
Rate Percentile37.5%
Basis?-0.0485%▼-0.0011%
Open Interest?3.47B
OI Change-2.12%
Long/Short Ratio?1.39▼-0.053
Top Trader Long %59.63%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation658.86K
Short Liquidation1.55M
Long 30%Short 70%
Large Buy4,308 trades / 1.08B
Large Sell4,389 trades / 1.23B
Options
IV Index?35.95%▼-0.25%
IV Range35.42% - 36.27%
HV 30D?40%
IV Premium-10.12%
Put/Call Ratio?0.46▼-0.001
Max Pain?$62,500
PCR (Volume)0.98
Options OI407.91K
Net Delta108.68
IV Skew12.1520
Vol Regimecompression (P7.7)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H36.13%4H36.13%24H36.13%7D36.4%30D40%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Falling
CVD Value-88.33
CVD 4H-22.14
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Sell Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?48.3%▼-1.4%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy26.1K
Large Taker Sell29.0K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth+4.8%
10 Depth+5.6%
20 Depth+6.8%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl59.5
10 Lvl69.0
20 Lvl82.9
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.000%
Max0.003%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield2.35%
US 2Y Yield4.16%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.81%
DXY120.5
VIX16.7
HY Spread2.71%
Net Liquidity5.99T
Net Liquidity Chg+0.00%
S&P 5007,457.69
M2 Supply$23062.9B
Updated at 19/07/2026, 22:10:08 UTC
On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1291.5B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.444,410
Hash Rate (EH/s)1049 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)+636.13 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.036 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0289
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$75.9B
IBIT AUM$48.6B
Est. Daily Flow+$845.8M
BTC MVRV1.2254
BTC Realized Price$52,879
BTC NUPL0.1839
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins257.3B
USDT184.1B
USDC73.3B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-48.6%
30D Change+2.00%
200D Change-25.98%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI58.3B
ETH Global OI37.0B
Google Trends72/100
Updated at 20/07/2026, 00:10:33 UTC⚠ Some data delayed
7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend→
Signal Trend▲
IV Trend→
Funding Trend▼
OI Trend→
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.