CoinSig — 2026-07-30 Crypto Market Report
Predictions2026-07-30
BTC/USDTBULLISHAI Bullish
$64,750▲ 1.24%
L $63,576 — H $65,157
ETH$1,917+0.40%·BTC Dom. 56.59%
+3/ ±7▼-1
Bullish
Fear & Greed
28Fear
24h Volume
$7.3B▼-36.76%
Retail leverage pushing funding rate up, but large orders are accumulating. Watch for divergence.
AIMarket status: BTC edged up to $64,750 with mixed flow regime, but strong ETF inflows and low liquidation ratio provide support.
Daily Market Structure Report
Market status: BTC edged up to $64,750 with mixed flow regime, but strong ETF inflows and low liquidation ratio provide support. Price is range-bound weekly; signal score dropped from +4 to +3, indicating waning momentum.\n\nCore contradiction: Funding rate at 100th percentile (extremely bearish) contrasts sharply with $845.8M ETF net inflow and 5.2% OI increase — retail long crowding vs institutional buying. Market direction hinges on which force prevails.\n\nVolatility & structure: IV fell to 36.11 (daily -1.34), at extreme low (2.2nd percentile), IV-HV spread -1.73, negative option premium. PCR OI 0.4347 (bullish), but low vol suggests no big move expected. Term structure flat, contango minimal.\n\nKey levels & thresholds: Support $63,576 (24h low), resistance $65,000 (round number). A break above $65,000 with volume >$7.9B (weekly avg) could trigger short squeeze; failure to hold $63,576 may lead to long liquidations.\n\nWhat to watch: 1) If funding stays high and OI rises further, watch for long squeeze; 2) If ETF inflows persist, they could offset funding bearishness; 3) Watch IV for a bounce — if IV rises with price breakout, confirms trend.
Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 60%
L/S Ratio: 1.2523CVD Trend: FallingIV Premium: -4.57%Fear & Greed: 28Taker Buy Ratio: 48.53%Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceHV Divergence: -6%mvrv: 1.21
Retail leverage pushing funding rate up, but large orders are accumulating. Watch for divergence.
▲ Bullish
Liq. Ratio
4% Long liq.×1.1Large Trades
46% sell side×0.96OI Change
+5.25%×1.15PCR
0.4347×0.88etf_flow
845.8×1▼ Bearish
Funding Rate
P100×1.12ATM Book Imbalance
-21.5%×0.97AI vs Rules
AI
▲ Bullish
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
▲ Bullish
Score: +3/7
AI and Rules agree
Despite Fear index at 28 and bearish funding rate, strong ETF inflows, long liquidation dominance, and multiple bullish signals suggest upward pressure.
Yesterday Review
✓ ✅ Correct+1.24%
100%Accuracy
Prediction aligned with market direction
✓ CVD Trend✓ PCR✓ ATM Book Imbalance✓ etf_flow
Last 7 Days2W 3L (2 skipped)
Win Rate40%
Avg Accuracy39%
07-22
07-23
07-24
07-25
07-26
07-27
07-28
AIBullish→✅ Correct
Key Price Levels
BTC
Round Number$65,000+0.4%
Options Max Pain$70,000+8.1%
Current Price$64,750—
24h Low$63,576-1.8%
ETH
Current Price$1,917—
Round Number$1,900-0.9%
Volume must exceed $7.9B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Short liquidations exceed 75% — bulls dominating
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 54.3% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureExtreme LowIV-HV: -4.57% · P2.2
Positioning RiskLong CrowdedFR P100 · Long Liq %: 3.7%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?FearfulF&G 28 · FR P100
Who Dominates?Bulls DominateBullish 5 : 2 Bearish · L/S 1.25
Capital Flowing In or Out?Inflow w/ DivergenceCVD Falling · Taker 49%
Volatility Risk?Low VolIV 36.11 · HV 37.84 · P2
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.01%▲+0.0016%
Rate Percentile100%
Basis?-0.0514%▼-0.0194%
Open Interest?3.65B
OI Change+5.25%
Long/Short Ratio?1.25▼-0.306
Top Trader Long %60.23%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation118.67K
Short Liquidation3.09M
Long 4%Short 96%
Large Buy8,903 trades / 2.34B
Large Sell7,927 trades / 1.97B
Options
IV Index?36.11%▼-1.34%
IV Range35.15% - 37.53%
HV 30D?37.84%
IV Premium-4.57%
Put/Call Ratio?0.43▼-0.004
Max Pain?$70,000
PCR (Volume)0.68
Options OI460.01K
Net Delta122.09
IV Skew7.6450
Vol Regimeextreme_low (P2.2)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H35.53%4H35.53%24H35.53%7D37.11%30D37.84%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Falling (Rising →)
CVD Value-148.46
CVD 4H3,730.91
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Sell Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?48.5%▼-0.5%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy52.9K
Large Taker Sell47.9K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth+1.0%
10 Depth+1.4%
20 Depth+2.0%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl21.1
10 Lvl23.6
20 Lvl28.1
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%▼-0.0001
Max0.003%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield2.41%
US 2Y Yield4.22%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.81%
DXY120.7
VIX20.7
HY Spread2.87%
Net Liquidity5.83T
Net Liquidity Chg-1.50%
S&P 5007,316.15
M2 Supply$23290.1B
Updated at 30/07/2026, 22:10:07 UTC
On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1303.0B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.478,468
Hash Rate (EH/s)897 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)+1217.73 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.107 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0296
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$75.9B
IBIT AUM$48.6B
Est. Daily Flow+$845.8M
BTC MVRV1.2089
BTC Realized Price$52,858
BTC NUPL0.1728
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins255.7B
USDT183.8B
USDC71.9B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-48.6%
30D Change+10.70%
200D Change-28.37%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI58.7B
ETH Global OI37.3B
Google Trends50/100
Updated at 31/07/2026, 00:10:34 UTC⚠ Some data delayed
7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend→
Signal Trend▲
IV Trend→
Funding Trend▲
OI Trend▼
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.