CoinSig — 2026-08-05 Crypto Market Report
Predictions2026-08-05
BTC/USDTBULLISHAI Bullish
$64,634▲ 0.87%
L $63,847 — H $65,022
ETH$1,908+2.09%·BTC Dom. 56.61%
+7/ ±7▲+3
Strong Bullish
Fear & Greed
27Fear
24h Volume
$9.3B▲+12.51%
Most dimensions point bullish. Sentiment is optimistic, but watch for overheating.
AI未来 24 小时关注：1）若 BTC 突破 $65,000 且成交量放大，则可能加速上行，因杠杆多头拥挤；2）若主动买入占比持续低于 50% 且 OFI 为负，则看涨信号可能失效，价格或回落至 $63,847；3）若资金费率继续上升至 0.01% 以上，需警惕多头过热。
Daily Market Structure Report
未来 24 小时关注：1）若 BTC 突破 $65,000 且成交量放大，则可能加速上行，因杠杆多头拥挤；2）若主动买入占比持续低于 50% 且 OFI 为负，则看涨信号可能失效，价格或回落至 $63,847；3）若资金费率继续上升至 0.01% 以上，需警惕多头过热。昨日信号预测正确（+4 分，实际 +0.87%），命中率 6/7，增强了对当前信号的信心。
Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 85%
Funding Rate: P83.3L/S Ratio: 1.1468Fear & Greed: 27Taker Buy Ratio: 49.91%Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: 1.6%HV Divergence: -6%mvrv: 1.22
Most dimensions point bullish. Sentiment is optimistic, but watch for overheating.
▲ Bullish
Liq. Ratio
21% Long liq.×0.85CVD Trend
Rising×1.09Large Trades
47% sell side×0.88IV Premium
-6.27%×0.66OI Change
+3.68%×1.36PCR
0.5269×0.87etf_flow
845.8×1.02AI vs Rules
AI
▲ Bullish
Confidence: high
Rules Prediction
▲ Bullish
Score: +7/7
AI and Rules agree
Multiple bullish signals align, including exchange outflows, ETF inflows, and rising CVD, indicating positive market sentiment.
Yesterday Review
✓ ✅ Correct+0.87%
84%Accuracy
Prediction aligned with market direction
✓ Liq. Ratio✓ CVD Trend✓ Large Trades✓ IV Premium✗ Taker Buy Ratio✓ PCR✓ etf_flow
Last 7 Days3W 2L (2 skipped)
Win Rate60%
Avg Accuracy56%
07-28
07-29
07-30
07-31
08-01
08-02
08-03
AIBullish→✅ Correct
Key Price Levels
BTC
Round Number$65,000+0.6%
Current Price$64,634—
24h Low$63,847-1.2%
Week Low$62,792-2.8%
Options Max Pain$60,000-7.2%
ETH
Current Price$1,908—
Round Number$1,900-0.4%
Volume must exceed $8.1B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Short liquidations exceed 75% — bulls dominating
Multiple indicators aligned bullish — strong short-term upside momentum
Signal score surged sharply — sentiment shifting bullish rapidly
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 52.7% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureCompressionIV-HV: -6.27% · P2.2
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P83.3 · Long Liq %: 21.1%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?FearfulF&G 27 · FR P83.3
Who Dominates?Bulls DominateBullish 7 : 0 Bearish · L/S 1.15
Capital Flowing In or Out?Net InflowCVD Rising · Taker 50%
Volatility Risk?Low VolIV 34.39 · HV 36.69 · P2
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.0066%▲+0.0049%
Rate Percentile83.3%
Basis?-0.05%▼-0.0003%
Open Interest?3.90B
OI Change+3.68%
Long/Short Ratio?1.15▼-0.130
Top Trader Long %60.04%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation1.48M
Short Liquidation5.51M
Long 21%Short 79%
Large Buy11,325 trades / 3.07B
Large Sell10,669 trades / 2.76B
Options
IV Index?34.39%▲+0.10%
IV Range33.95% - 34.92%
HV 30D?36.69%
IV Premium-6.27%
Put/Call Ratio?0.53▲+0.007
Max Pain?$60,000
PCR (Volume)0.90
Options OI342.06K
Net Delta593.09
IV Skew7.6020
Vol Regimecompression (P2.2)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H34.63%4H34.62%24H34.63%7D35.03%30D36.69%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Rising
CVD Value267.69
CVD 4H13,867.96
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Sell Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?49.9%▲+2.2%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy67.9K
Large Taker Sell63.1K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth+1.9%
10 Depth+2.2%
20 Depth+3.1%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl19.2
10 Lvl21.8
20 Lvl26.9
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.000%▼-0.0001
Max0.003%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield2.4%
US 2Y Yield4.2%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.8%
DXY119.7
VIX16.5
HY Spread2.73%
Net Liquidity5.83T
Net Liquidity Chg+0.01%
S&P 5007,736.52
M2 Supply$23290.1B
Updated at 05/08/2026, 22:10:08 UTC
On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1298.5B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.508,237
Hash Rate (EH/s)885 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)-1581.07 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.125 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0296
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$75.9B
IBIT AUM$48.6B
Est. Daily Flow+$845.8M
BTC MVRV1.2162
BTC Realized Price$52,667
BTC NUPL0.1778
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins254.8B
USDT183.1B
USDC71.7B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-48.8%
30D Change+0.94%
200D Change-31.86%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI57.5B
ETH Global OI35.4B
Google Trends69/100
Updated at 06/08/2026, 00:10:34 UTC⚠ Some data delayed
7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend→
Signal Trend▲
IV Trend▼
Funding Trend▼
OI Trend▲
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.